Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 416.635570 473.043664 535.529770 610.098588 696.944423 795.228482 915.347145
2026-01-04 342.893491 419.766317 512.706439 634.274624 790.453551 986.190273 1252.966827
2026-01-11 294.460268 378.660162 486.512376 636.593173 842.890908 1120.724608 1530.470122
2026-01-18 254.535671 340.006736 454.523211 621.868258 864.731967 1211.600311 1757.892091
2026-01-25 224.720208 309.892755 428.416629 609.000662 883.668849 1296.690619 1986.402932
2026-02-01 209.244841 297.287366 424.256429 625.552717 945.885359 1452.404035 2348.830021
2026-02-08 191.896394 279.675543 410.204470 624.405244 979.059379 1565.432506 2658.925465
2026-02-15 175.960427 262.316840 394.288076 617.680405 1001.116891 1661.589689 2954.740644
2026-02-22 164.733540 250.956191 386.231247 622.208176 1041.769120 1794.330854 3341.427869
2026-03-01 151.942048 235.843579 370.513376 611.695871 1054.044072 1876.610022 3643.633862
2026-03-08 141.742307 223.976250 358.883150 606.696169 1075.135069 1977.563493 4002.574382
2026-03-15 129.327869 207.389545 337.784659 582.417763 1056.690752 1998.056095 4190.599585
2026-03-22 125.124482 204.486812 340.182019 601.838840 1126.200415 2208.870088 4859.226941
2026-03-29 121.914978 203.018476 344.945612 626.248698 1209.175316 2462.240704 5691.865980
2026-04-05 115.782214 195.849070 338.709211 628.498380 1246.328814 2621.086254 6326.410576
2026-04-12 107.974880 185.052168 324.837911 613.991389 1245.542908 2693.025064 6748.446723
2026-04-19 101.123047 175.496673 312.505274 601.311742 1247.069202 2770.534696 7205.267861
2026-04-26 98.360981 173.317266 314.048738 617.621785 1316.257354 3024.652769 8242.117175
2026-05-03 93.793461 167.379072 307.753187 616.491122 1344.596740 3180.478051 9024.830411
2026-05-10 88.990700 160.649974 299.346003 609.864705 1358.847972 3301.865068 9732.730019
2026-05-17 85.703551 156.637586 296.083608 614.326228 1400.927624 3505.989972 10779.320402
2026-05-24 81.190503 149.902136 286.722335 603.967617 1404.213729 3602.351863 11479.004691
2026-05-31 77.516416 144.612006 279.982830 599.040870 1420.985490 3740.910758 12378.848856